How to Watch Live Midterm Election Coverage and Results Online

How to Watch Live Midterm Election Coverage and Results Online

"It's all fragile. Everything I told you about, it can be undone and changed by the Democrats if they get in", Trump told supporters on a telephone "town hall" organized by his re-election campaign.

Midterms may be more predictable than most things in politics. And 35 Senate seats are in play, as are nearly 40 governorships and the balance of power in virtually every state legislature. That's unlikely, by all accounts, because the map is so friendly for the GOP.

How it would happen: Forget the polls; Democrats are favored to take back the House for more reasons than that. The once strong Republican stronghold went to Hillary Clinton in 2016.

Trump was on a hectic schedule of campaign appearances for Republican candidates Sunday, while former president Barack Obama made a last-ditch appeal for an endangered Senate Democrat in Indiana.

How many seats must Democrats flip to win the House? It is a competition for the soul of America - a referendum on Trump and the venomous political culture that many blame for gridlock in Congress and a recent spate of hate crimes and politically motivated attacks.

Democratic candidates pledge they will take up legislation to increase the minimum wage, expand child care availability and control prescription drug costs. Evangelical Christians are also a key constituency, seen to be happy with Mr Trump and Vice-President Mike Pence over their pro-life conservatism and the President's shifting of the US Embassy in Israel to Jerusalem. The district is a traditionally Republican one but one where affluent suburbanites have been skeptical of Trump.

We're in "blue wave" territory here. Let's assume the double-digit leads that Democrats used to have on the generic ballot (until recently) prevails on Election Day, and Americans vote Democratic by 10 or more points nationwide.

"If we don't have a good day, they will make it like it's the end of the world", Trump said.

The GOP is facing greater headwinds in the House of Representatives. They might need to rethink their DNC leadership too, but Democrats won't be "paralyzed" any more than Republicans were after losing in 2006 and 2008. Heidi Heitkamp, a Democrat, in North Dakota. A Republican in California, fighting for what seemed like a hereditary seat, has called his challenger a "terrorist". And among white men without college degrees, Republicans led 65% to 30%. Bloomberg photo by Aaron P. Bernstein.

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Florida will also see the second Senate seat up for grabs that Democrats need to win if they hope to have a chance of taking control of the Senate when Sen.

And problem three, Democrats wouldn't be the only ones giving Mr Trump a hard time. Joe Donnelly in a much-watched battle for U.S. Senate, Conway elicited a better response from the crowd. In 2008, Georgia's US Senate race was forced to a December runoff after Republican Saxby Chambliss couldn't clear 50% against Democrat Jim Martin. Immediately, talk would turn to how the 2016 election was perhaps a fluke and to how Trump's divisiveness had backfired. And it was at a rally for Abrams that former Attorney General Eric Holder uttered the infamous call to "kick" Republicans. FiveThirtyEight has them at a 1-in-8 shot.

This would require the House GOP holding the vast majority of those toss-up races, possibly because of rising enthusiasm from Trump's fear-infused, immigration-focused base strategy. Even if Republicans can just win red states, that could be a four- or five-seat gain.

Trump warned again that caravans of immigrants are on their way to flood across the southern border. In practical terms that means that for McCaskill to hold on in Missouri, Donnelly in IN and Tester in Montana, and for Heitkamp to mount a comeback in North Dakota, the terrain is steep but not insurmountable.

"House forecast: Democrats will win 226 seats (and the House majority) while Republicans will win just 209 seats". Maybe Democrats pull a shocker in Tennessee and/or Texas but lose supposedly easier states.

Democrats are most optimistic about the House, a sprawling battlefield extending from Alaska to Florida.

Obama added: "Now in 2018 they're telling you the existential threat to America is a bunch of poor refugees a thousand miles away".

What it would mean: The same as above - chaos - except less specifically partisan. This will be sufficient for the opposition to launch a score of investigations against the Trump administration and potentially hamstring the government until the next presidential election cycle begins.